The semi-finals are over, the 26 finalists have been selected, and SVT have sweated over the running order to try and engineer as balanced a show as possible. I didn’t envy them, the running order is always dissected in forensic detail when it’s a random draw, let alone when fans have a scapegoat to blame for an allegedly poor slot.
While you’re here, my Malmö 2013 hub has reviews and videos of all the entries, as well as other news and review of the national selections. Or you can click “Malmö 2013″ at the top of the screen.
The logic usually goes that the later you are, the better. But it’s a lot more complicated than that, personally I feel that the performers either side make much more of a difference. A tender ballad might get totally engulfed by two uptempos, or it might exude a level of class that crowd-pleasing dance tracks could only dream of. The door swings both ways, and it pays not to get too hung up on it, it could drive you insane!
Particularly the dreaded “slot of death” – 2nd performance – is famed for having never generated a winner. Pure superstition, with enough circumstantial evidence to convince many people, but you can ‘prove’ a lot of theories by twisting numbers where you like. But enough chatter, what’s the running order?
1. Amandine Bourgeois – L’enfer et moi (France)
2. Andrius Pojavis – Something (Lithuania)
3. Aliona Moon – O mie (Moldova)
4. Krista Siegfrids – Marry Me (Finland)
5. ESDM – Contigo hasta el final (Spain)
6. Roberto Bellarosa – Love Kills (Belgium)
7. Birgit – Et uus saaks alguse (Estonia)
8. Alyona Lanskaya – Solayoh (Belarus)
9. Gianluca – Tomorrow (Malta)
10. Dina Garipova – What If (Russia)
11. Cascada – Glorious (Germany)
12. Dorians – Lonely Planet (Armenia)
13. Anouk – Birds (Netherlands)
14. Cezar – It’s My Life (Romania)
15. Bonnie Tyler – Believe in Me (United Kingdom)
16. Robin Stjernberg – You (Sweden)
17. ByeAlex – Kedvesem (Hungary)
18. Emmelie de Forest – Only Teardrops (Denmark)
19. Eythor Ingi – Ég á líf (Iceland)
20. Farid Mammadov – Hold Me (Azerbaijan)
21. Koza Mostra ft. Agathon Iakovidis – Alcohol Is Free (Greece)
22. Zlata Ognevich – Gravity (Ukraine)
23. Marco Mengoni – L’essenziale (Italy)
24. Margaret Berger – I Feed You My Love (Norway)
25. Nodi Tatishvili & Sophie Gelovani – Waterfall (Georgia)
26. Ryan Dolan – Only Love Survives (Ireland)
Baseless speculation from me
For me, I think as far as the contest goes, there’s a reasonably defined line between the contenders and the ones that just did well to weather the semi-finals. The biggies from semi-final 2 nearly all landed in the second half, given Denmark a bit more of a fight than some were expecting.
Particularly that home stretch from Denmark onwards is a hit-frenzy, with only really Iceland and perhaps Italy taking collateral damage in the middle of the massive tracks. Ireland particularly did well to close the show, and I’m getting vibes that it’s going to make it right through to the top 10.
Moldova didn’t do so well getting 3rd, and I wonder if Romania’s 10-ft dress will steal some of its thunder later on. Lithuania got the ‘slot of death’, but frankly I was amazed it got through in the first place. Didn’t they get the slot of death a few years ago too?
The first ten are going to struggle a bit to be remembered, lesbian kisses aside, but who knows. I think apart from dismal Hungary and Armenia getting through, that’s a pretty hot final there! And every final needs a few toilet breaks, eh? I certainly can’t see Hungary surviving the sandwich between Sweden and Denmark.
I was amazed at the massive cheer Bonnie Tyler got whenever she was mentioned – could the “big in Europe” tag actually be true this time? Either way she seems to be commanding massive respect at the moment, and I think she shouldn’t be underestimated. Frankly, it wouldn’t take much to surpass British expectations!
Money where my mouth is
So the consensus (decided several years ago) is that it’s Denmark’s contest to lose. I’m sceptical to put too much stock in betting odds, but they have unwaveringly supported Emmelie the whole way through. But if this is fan-fuelled odds, it could easily end up in a blind-leading-the-blind situation.
I think people would be stupid to write off anyone else’s chances for victory, particularly Azerbaijan. They are pros in this contest now, and have been rewarded handsomely. Farid is gorgeous, sang his little socks off, and that stage show was incredible. I’m putting £10 an Azeri victory tomorrow …
My predictions? Well, you know my thoughts on the winner. But for a laugh:
Top 5 (in no particular order) – Denmark, Azerbaijan, Norway, Italy, Georgia
6-10: Ukraine, Ireland, Germany, Netherlands, Greece
Bottom 5: Hungary, Iceland, Armenia, Lithuania, France
What do you think? Leave your predictions below!